The market moved

+0.0ppin 24h · now 17¢

Will China announce participation in Iran negotiations by May 22?

Geopolitics · resolves May 22 · vol $2.1K

Why

Probability rose slightly up to 17¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.0pp shift. Resolution depends on chinese government — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: Chinese government.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.
+0.0pp · Will China announce participation in Iran negotiations by May 22? | Orrery