The market moved
+6.5ppin 24h · now 100¢
Will China GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 4.5% and 5.0%?
Macro · resolves Jan 31 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability rose decisively up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 6.5pp shift. Resolution depends on gdp release — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: GDP release — https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.