The market moved
+0.5ppin 24h · now 8¢
Will China win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?
Geopolitics · resolves Sep 28 · vol $50.00
Why
Probability rose slightly up to 8¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.5pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://chessolympiad2026.fide.com/).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.