The market moved
-0.9ppin 24h · now 1¢
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 6.0% and 7.0%?
Macro · resolves Jan 31 · vol $4.8K
Why
Probability fell slightly down to 1¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 0.9pp shift. Resolution depends on gdp release — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: GDP release — https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.