The market moved

+25.4ppin 24h · now 100¢

Will China's annual inflation increase by ≥0.7% in December?

Macro · resolves Jan 10 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability rose sharply up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 25.4pp shift. Resolution depends on to the number the consumer price index (cpi) increased by during the 12-month period ending december 2025 (% change from — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: to the number the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by during the 12-month period ending December 2025 (% change from — https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/).
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.