The market moved
+4.0ppin 24h · now 31¢
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election by less than 3%?
Politics · resolves Jun 3 · vol $688.43
Why
Probability rose modestly up to 31¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 4.0pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://www.nec.go.kr/).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.