The market moved

-2.4ppin 24h · now

Will Choo Mi-ae win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province gubernatorial election by 40% or more?

Geopolitics · resolves Jun 3 · vol $25.00

Why

Probability fell modestly down to 1¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 2.4pp shift. Resolution depends on nato — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: nato — https://www.nec.go.kr/).
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.