The market moved
+3.9ppin 24h · now 18¢
Will Chris Bryant be the first to leave the Burnham cabinet?
Politics · resolves Dec 31 · vol $4.5K
Why
Probability rose modestly up to 18¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 3.9pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.