Will Christian Menefee be the Democratic nominee for TX-18?

Why

Probability fell slightly down to 89¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 0.4pp shift. Resolution depends on to the candidate who wins the nomination for the democratic party to contest the tx-18 congressional district seat in th — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the TX-18 congressional district seat in th — https://democrats.org/.
• Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.