The market moved

-2.1ppin 24h · now

Will Chunk of Gold win the 2025 Kentucky Derby?

Other · resolves May 5 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability fell modestly down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 2.1pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://www.kentuckyderby.com/).
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.