The market moved
-4.7ppin 24h · now 1¢
Will Cindy Werner be the Wisconsin Secretary of State Republican nominee?
Politics · resolves Aug 11 · vol $298.37
Why
Probability fell modestly down to 1¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 4.7pp shift. Resolution depends on to the candidate who wins the nomination for the republican party to contest the 2026 wisconsin secretary of state elect — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 Wisconsin Secretary of State Elect — https://rnc.org/.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.