The market moved
-17.0ppin 24h · now 4¢
Will Citigroup or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?
Business · resolves Dec 31 · vol $398.61
Why
Probability fell sharply down to 4¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 17.0pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.