The market moved
-3.0ppin 24h · now 72¢
Will Claude 5 be released by September 30, 2026?
AI · resolves Sep 30 · vol $80.65
Why
Probability fell modestly down to 72¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 3.0pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.