The market moved
-4.0ppin 24h · now 5¢
Will Claude by Anthropic be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 19?
AI · resolves May 19 · vol $684.01
Why
Probability fell modestly down to 5¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 4.0pp shift. Resolution depends on to the ios app, ranked #1 in the united states on the iphone apple app store's overall top charts under "free apps", as — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as — https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 39.4h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.