The market moved

-1.5ppin 24h · now 48¢

Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 19?

AI · resolves May 19 · vol $265.40

Why

Probability fell slightly down to 48¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 1.5pp shift. Resolution depends on to the ios app, ranked #2 in the united states on the iphone apple app store's overall top charts under "free apps", as — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as — https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • Market resolves in 38.2h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.