The market moved

-0.5ppin 24h · now 12¢

Will Claude Code Commits be less than 500.0k on June 30?

AI · resolves Jun 30 · vol $19.00

Why

Probability fell slightly down to 12¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 0.5pp shift. Resolution depends on to the 7-day average commits (7d avg commits) figure for the final date of the specified month — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: to the 7-day average commits (7D Avg Commits) figure for the final date of the specified month.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.