The market moved

+9.9ppin 24h · now 96¢

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by December 31?

AI · resolves Dec 31 · vol $28.3K

Why

Probability rose decisively up to 96¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 9.9pp shift. Resolution depends on us government — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: US government.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.