Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 3?

Why

Probability rose sharply up to 99¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 80.6pp shift. Resolution depends on us government — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: US government.
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
• Market resolves in 47.8h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.