The market moved
+16.0ppin 24h · now 88¢
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?
AI · resolves Jul 31 · vol $32.0K
Why
Probability rose sharply up to 88¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 16.0pp shift. Resolution depends on us government — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: US government.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.