The market moved

-16.0ppin 24h · now 42¢

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?

AI · resolves Jun 22 · vol $45.2K

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 42¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 16.0pp shift. Resolution depends on us government — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: US government.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.