The market moved
+5.0ppin 24h · now 37¢
Will Claude go down 9-11 times in May?
AI · resolves May 31 · vol $25.30
Why
Probability rose decisively up to 37¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 5.0pp shift. Resolution depends on to the number of days in the month of may during which claude (claude — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: to the number of days in the month of May during which Claude (claude — https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.