The market moved

+11.0ppin 24h · now 100¢

Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?

AI · resolves Jun 13 · vol $14.12

Why

Probability rose sharply up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 11.0pp shift. Resolution depends on chatbot arena llm leaderboard — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard — https://lmarena.ai/).
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.