The market moved
-12.0ppin 24h · now 70¢
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 20, 2026?
AI · resolves Jun 20 · vol $1.8K
Why
Probability fell sharply down to 70¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 12.0pp shift. Resolution depends on chatbot arena llm leaderboard — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard — https://lmarena.ai/).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.