The market moved

+5.5ppin 24h · now 91¢

Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking have the best AI model on May 30, 2026?

AI · resolves May 30 · vol $242.91

Why

Probability rose decisively up to 91¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 5.5pp shift. Resolution depends on chatbot arena llm leaderboard — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard — https://lmarena.ai/).
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.