The market moved
-4.5ppin 24h · now 38¢
Will Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 AL Central title?
Sports · resolves Oct 11 · vol $241.88
Why
Probability fell modestly down to 38¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 4.5pp shift. Resolution depends on mlb.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: mlb.com — https://www.mlb.com/).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.