Will Conservatives flip Liberals in the polls before the election?

Why

Probability fell slightly down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 1.2pp shift. Resolution depends on to all previously published data points — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: to all previously published data points — https://newsinteractives.cbc.ca/elections/poll-tracker/canada.
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.