The market moved
+8.4ppin 24h · now 16¢
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.6% in July?
Macro · resolves Aug 12 · vol $245.01
Why
Probability rose decisively up to 16¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 8.4pp shift. Resolution depends on bureau of labor — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Bureau of Labor — https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.