The market moved
+2.5ppin 24h · now 29¢
Will Core CPI YoY be 3.3% or more in June?
Macro · resolves Jul 15 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability rose modestly up to 29¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 2.5pp shift. Resolution depends on bureau of labor — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Bureau of Labor — https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.