The market moved

+4.5ppin 24h · now 10¢

Will Core PCE MoM be 0.4% in June?

Other · resolves Jul 30 · vol $225.37

Why

Probability rose modestly up to 10¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 4.5pp shift. Resolution depends on bureau of economic — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: Bureau of Economic — https://www.bea.gov/data/personal-consumption-expenditures-price-index).
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.