The market moved
+3.5ppin 24h · now 16¢
Will Core PCE YoY be 3.3% or less in June?
Other · resolves Jul 30 · vol $12.57
Why
Probability rose modestly up to 16¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 3.5pp shift. Resolution depends on bureau of economic — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Bureau of Economic — https://www.bea.gov/data/personal-consumption-expenditures-price-index).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.