The market moved
-0.5ppin 24h · now 13¢
Will Core PCE YoY be 3.6% in June?
Other · resolves Jul 30 · vol $98.79
Why
Probability fell slightly down to 13¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 0.5pp shift. Resolution depends on bureau of economic — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Bureau of Economic — https://www.bea.gov/data/personal-consumption-expenditures-price-index).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.