Will Crin Antonescu win the second most votes in the first round of the Romanian Presidential Election?

Why

Probability fell slightly down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 1.7pp shift. Resolution depends on reuters — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: reuters — https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/romania-confirms-date-tightens-rules-presidential-election-rerun-2025-01-16/).
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.