The market moved
+2.2ppin 24h · now 4¢
Will Cristopher Sánchez lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season?
Sports · resolves Sep 28 · vol $141.10
Why
Probability rose modestly up to 4¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 2.2pp shift. Resolution depends on official mlb data — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Official MLB data.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.