The market moved
+0.5ppin 24h · now 100¢
Will Croatia qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Sports · resolves Apr 12 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability rose slightly up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.5pp shift. Resolution depends on fifa.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: fifa.com — https://www.fifa.com/en/tournaments/mens/worldcup).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.