The market moved
+4.5ppin 24h · now 37¢
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?
Macro · resolves Sep 30 · vol $2.8K
Why
Probability rose modestly up to 37¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 4.5pp shift. Resolution depends on cme / nymex official futures price — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: CME / NYMEX official futures price — https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html).
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.