The market moved

-1.5ppin 24h · now

Will Curaçao finish second in Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

Sports · resolves Jul 12 · vol $9.00

Why

Probability fell slightly down to 6¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 1.5pp shift. Resolution depends on fifa.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: fifa.com — https://www.fifa.com/).
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.