The market moved

-0.5ppin 24h · now 99¢

Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 1T yuan?

Business · resolves Dec 31 · vol $1.2K

Why

Probability fell slightly down to 99¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 0.5pp shift. Resolution depends on sec filing — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: SEC filing.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.