The market moved

-2.2ppin 24h · now

Will CXMT’s market cap be between 250 billion and 280 billion yuan at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2026?

Business · resolves Dec 31 · vol $56.25

Why

Probability fell modestly down to 2¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 2.2pp shift. Resolution depends on sec filing — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: SEC filing.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.