The market moved

-24.5ppin 24h · now 25¢

Will Daddy Win the 2026 Soloq Challenge (High Elo)

Other · open · vol $194.03

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 25¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 24.5pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://soloqchallenge.gg).
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.