The market moved
+2.3ppin 24h · now 97¢
Will "Dai Dai" be played during the World Cup Finals Halftime Show?
Sports · resolves Jul 19 · vol $63.33
Why
Probability rose modestly up to 97¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 2.3pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.