Will daily atmospheric CO2 be above 416.2 ppm on August 3, 2021?

Why

Probability rose slightly up to 0¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.0pp shift. Resolution depends on esrl.noaa.gov — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: esrl.noaa.gov — https://www.esrl.noaa.gov/gmd/ccgg/trends/monthly.html).
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.