The market moved
+1.0ppin 24h · now 41¢
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
Politics · resolves Nov 3 · vol $288.16
Why
Probability rose slightly up to 41¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 1.0pp shift. Resolution depends on associated press — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Associated Press.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.