Will Daniel Keenan be the Republican nominee for AZ-05?

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 26¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 16.0pp shift. Resolution depends on to the candidate who wins the nomination for the republican party to contest the az-05 congressional district seat in th — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-05 congressional district seat in th — https://www.rnc.org/.
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.