The market moved
-4.2ppin 24h · now 4¢
Will David Leslie win the most votes in the Alaska Senate primary final round?
Politics · resolves Nov 3 · vol $280.55
Why
Probability fell modestly down to 4¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 4.2pp shift. Resolution depends on nato — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: nato.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.