The market moved

-1.5ppin 24h · now

Will DeepSeek have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?

AI · resolves Sep 30 · vol $86.44

Why

Probability fell slightly down to 2¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 1.5pp shift. Resolution depends on chatbot arena llm leaderboard — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard — https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent).
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.