The market moved

-36.0ppin 24h · now 40¢

Will Deere Q2 revenue be above $11.5B?

Business · resolves May 21 · vol $552.68

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 40¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 36.0pp shift. Resolution depends on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.