The market moved
-2.5ppin 24h · now 0¢
Will Democrats 66 (D66) win the most seats in The Hague’s 2026 municipal election?
Politics · resolves Mar 18 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability fell modestly down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 2.5pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://www.kiesraad.nl/).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.