The market moved
+27.4ppin 24h · now 100¢
Will Detroit record the first snowfall?
Weather · resolves May 1 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability rose sharply up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 27.4pp shift. Resolution depends on to the first listed city that records a daily snowfall of at least 0 — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: to the first listed city that records a daily snowfall of at least 0 — https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.