The market moved

-0.1ppin 24h · now

Will Diddy flee the US before October?

Politics · resolves Sep 30 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability fell slightly down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 0.1pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://www.nytimes.com/2024/09/16/arts/music/sean-combs-diddy-indicted.html?smid=tw-nytimes&smtyp=cur).
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.