The market moved

-36.5ppin 24h · now 50¢

Will DOGE cut $3B of DEI contracts before March?

Other · resolves Feb 28 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 50¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 36.5pp shift. Resolution depends on department of government efficiency — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: Department of Government Efficiency — https://www.doge-tracker.com/.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.